Charmed Existence

SoSHer Yecul shows us all why our shortstop problem is likely to get a lot, lot worse.

6 comments… add one
  • Hey! Where’s the post devoted to ME! I made this point a month ago! :)
    As long as Lugo keeps his average around .300, there won’t be a huge rush to move or bench him. But because of the BABIP, it won’t stay there. Besides his feelings, I don’t see why they don’t give Lowrie a shot. He could hit enough to make the lack of range less of a concern. Shoot, the Yankees have had a similar type SS for a few years now…

    A YF May 24, 2008, 12:14 pm
  • Same kind of reasoning applies heavily to Matsuzaka as well, whose peripherals are all significantly worse than last year, but his ERA is helped by his ridiculously unsustainable BABIP, of something like .230.

    AndrewYF May 24, 2008, 12:39 pm
  • Same kind of reasoning applies heavily to Matsuzaka as well, whose peripherals are all significantly worse than last year, but his ERA is helped by his ridiculously unsustainable BABIP, of something like .230.
    See Wang, Chien-Ming. Same argument was made by many SFs who questioned Wang’s sustainability. Suffice it to say I am not going to argue that Matsuzaka isn’t going to regress (he is, I am pretty sure of it), but Wang did a pretty good job defying expectations on this BABIP front.

    SF May 24, 2008, 12:45 pm
  • That’s the great thing about statistics.. there are so many of them.

    attackgerbil May 24, 2008, 1:20 pm
  • “See Wang, Chien-Ming.”
    Nah, not really. His BABIP has always been around league average, maybe a little under. I was surprised too when I first looked, but that’s the way it is, their situations are not really comparable at all.
    Matsuzaka has absolutely been getting extremely lucky this season. His walks are way up, his strikeouts are down, his groundball/flyball ratio is towards the flyball side. The only difference is his ridiculous BABIP. Peripheral-wise, he is pitching worse this season than last season.

    AndrewYF May 24, 2008, 2:06 pm
  • sorry, I wasn’t clear. The knock on Wang was that his K rate and BABIP made his ultimate numbers quite lucky, his end stats defying the number of balls that made it into play. A little different than what you are saying about Dice, I realize.

    SF May 24, 2008, 3:22 pm

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