Early Projections

  • The Yankees will score 2,430 runs this year.
  • They will give up 324 runs.
  • They will not perform at the level of their Pythagorean record, losing an inordinate number of close games.
  • Their final regular season record will be 150-12.
  • Curt Schilling will throw 1,000 pitches by April 15. His arm will fall off during the 12th inning of a game against the Mariners. The important thing is that Francona showed confidence in his ace up until the last gruesome second. Curt’s ego will be stroked.
  • 755 fake syringes will be thrown at Barry Bonds during the 2006 season.
  • Big Papi will hit a home run every time SF or YF chooses to live-blog a Sox game. (Seriously, look it up, every time there’s a live game blog on this site, Ortiz hits a dinger. It’s uncanny and just a little annoying.)
  • Tino Martinez will say 856 inoffensive and generally boring things this year on Baseball Tonight, such as "Vladimir Guerrero is impossible to pitch around," or "David Wright hits to all fields." I will probably hang on his every word.

16 comments… add one
  • Subway Series here we come!

    john April 4, 2006, 8:54 am
  • I said it before, and I’ll say it again: the Royals could’ve scored 15 runs off of the A’s last night. Know how many of the yankees 15 runs were scored before a walk or an error? 1.

    mattymatty April 4, 2006, 12:41 pm
  • mattyX2, that’s pretty weak. It takes two to make a walk, and it’s most certain that Yanks hitters are better at the art than Royals’ hitters. It was a dominant performance by a potentially historic offense.

    NickYF April 4, 2006, 1:09 pm
  • Did you watch the game, NickYF? Zito was awful. Historically awful. He couldn’t throw any pitch over the plate. The Yankees are unquestionably going to have a great offense, but it didn’t look to me like they had as much to do with the outcome of that game as Zito and the parade of crapitude that passed for A’s pitchers did.
    Maybe I’m overstating this. Did anyone else see the game and come away with a similar thought?

    mattymatty April 4, 2006, 4:06 pm
  • MM is right. Zito did suck. Eggs. But it’s not really fair to say bad things about the Yankees because of that. Kevin Millwood sucked too, but I don’t see lots of excuses being made for why the Sox won, right?
    Let’s be equitable, MM.

    SF April 4, 2006, 4:15 pm
  • Where did I say anything bad about the Yankees? I said that the Royals could’ve scored 15 runs on Zito, and it wasn’t a fair indication of offensive ability. Its unquestionable that the Yankees offense will be good-to-great. Unquestionable. But Zito was terrible.
    And Millwood isn’t a fair comparison, SF. He and the rest of the Rangers didn’t walk 9 guys. NINE!

    mattymatty April 4, 2006, 4:22 pm
  • I watched it, and, certainly, Zito was awful. But this has the makings of a chicken-egg argument. Anytime a team scores 15 runs, the opposing team’s pitching and defense is not going to look good. It seems reasonable to assume that the result was a combination of both.

    NickYF April 4, 2006, 4:25 pm
  • I felt like this game was notable, not for the Yankees offensive prowess, which certainly they have, but for the unexpectedly subpar performance of the A’s pitching staff, particularly Zito. Thats all I’m trying to say here.

    mattymatty April 4, 2006, 4:31 pm
  • I dunno, MM. It’s hard to think that you weren’t making a veiled swipe at the Yankees. But I’ll take you at your word. I think you are right to note Zito’s performance. It’s one of the reasons why I think the A’s are totally overrated, and have been dumbfounded why they (along with the equally overrated Yankees) are one of the most named favorites to win the World Series. Both Nick and YF like them, and I am still unsure why. Nick even calls them potentially “dominant”. I just can’t see it.

    SF April 4, 2006, 4:35 pm
  • I could see that. I guess I just disagree. Sorry for jumping down your throat.

    NickYF April 4, 2006, 4:35 pm
  • According to good ol’ Pythagorean measurements, the A’s were a 89 win team last year. I just think the improvement they made this off-season, coupled with Haren’s and Harden’s maturation, a full-year of Dan Johnson instead of Hatteburg,means big gains in 2006.

    NickYF April 4, 2006, 4:40 pm
  • I agree with NickYF. I picked the A’s as ’06 World Series champs in my Pointless Preseason Prognostication. I think they’re a very solid team with better pitching than anyone in the AL with the possible exception of Chicago, who I still have no faith in.
    SF – I’d just like to point out the swipe you took at the Yankees in your post in which you accuse me of taking a swipe at the Yankees.
    NickYF – Thanks for the apology. Thats very gentlemanly of you and its appreciated.

    mattymatty April 4, 2006, 4:48 pm
  • I don’t think there’s anything wrong with swiping at the Yanks, MM. I just thought you seemed to disavow that you were taking a swipe at the Yanks. And that’s what I found odd. Plus I thought that last night wasn’t the best game as a source for swiping.
    I am all for swiping, just so you know.

    SF April 4, 2006, 5:54 pm
  • According to the Yankee announcers, Zito always starts the season out poorly.
    (Not that I put any stock into what that absurdly biased bunch has to stay. But for once, one of their comments didn’t serve to pump up the Yankees.)

    Hudson April 4, 2006, 6:46 pm
  • Zito usually starts the season badly. You can look it up.

    john April 4, 2006, 7:07 pm
  • I stumbled across your blog while I was doing some online research.I admire anyone who is bold enough to make predictions such as these! My hat’s off to you!

    thebizofknowledge August 13, 2006, 4:14 pm

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