I figure this subject is worthy of a new thread, I thought it might get buried in the comments section of a previous post.
Nomar is a notorious first-pitch swinger. He gets reamed in Boston by lots of people for it (Waldomeboy and, occasionally, me). But here are some funny numbers:
Nomar, Average at 0-0: .340
Nomar, Average at 1-0: .348
Nomar, Average at 0-1: .297
How does Nomar decide if he’s going to swing? There has to be some sort of amazing analysis which shows a trail of events – swings at first pitches leading to hits, swings at first pitches leading to foul balls, swings at first pitches leading to outs, then the next tier – swings at second pitches after swings at first pitches leading to hits, to outs, to 0-2 counts, etc. At first glance, it seems that Nomar ought to keep on swinging at those first pitches, since his aggregate batting average at 0-0 and 0-1 is higher than his aggregate batting average at all counts. Of course, there are certain situations where Nomar absolutely positively should keep the f-%$#!-ing bat on his shoulder but doesn’t, which has the effect of making most fans he swings at every damned first pitch.
Who else is notorious for this, that is still active? Does anyone have any additions to the list?