On Slate, Bill James offers the formula he uses to determine when a basketball game is over: “Take the number of points one team is ahead. Subtract three. Add a half-point if the team that is ahead has the ball, and subtract a half-point if the other team has the ball. Square that. If the result is greater than the number of seconds left in the game, the lead is safe.” (If you’re a Knicks fan, the answer is, “don’t ask.”) Fun, if not baseball related. Alas, there’s no version for the pastime.