In the midst of this stretch of four days — four days! — between games that count, YFSF presents a series of rival-centric leaderboards from the first half of the season, using statistics slightly off the beaten trail. We hope this will serve as at least a slight tonic for the lack of real baseball this week.
Today: Part 1, the offense.
We'll start with the favorite offense-minded stats of the Big Three stats sites: OPS+ for Baseball-Reference, wOBA for Fangraphs and GPA for The Hardball Times.
OPS+
- Kevin Youkilis, 148
- Mark Teixeira, 137
- Hideki Matsui, 130
- Jason Bay, 129
- Johnny Damon, 127
- Derek Jeter, 125
- J.D. Drew, 116
- Robinson Cano, 116
- Nick Swisher, 115
- Jason Varitek, 108
GPA ([OBP*1.8+SLG]/4, ballpark adjusted)
- Kevin Youkilis, .317
- Mark Teixeira, .304
- Hideki Matsui, .295
- Derek Jeter, .294
- Jason Bay, .291
- Johnny Damon, .290
- Nick Swisher, .279
- J.D. Drew, .278
- Robinson Cano, .277
- Dustin Pedroia, .264
wOBA (Linear-weights performance adjusted for league-average OBP)
- Kevin Youkilis, .422
- Mark Teixeira, .392
- Jason Bay, .389
- Derek Jeter, .385
- Johnny Damon, .383
- Hideki Matsui, .379
- J.D. Drew, .369
- Nick Swisher, .360
- Dustin Pedroia, .357
- Robinson Cano, .356
The nature of linear wrights — looking at the run value of every specific event — would seem to indicate that Jason Bay in particular has been very clutchy this season, as he shoots way up, while Yankees like Hideki Matsui and Robinson Cano slide a bit. In fact, a look at some clutch indicators show that New York's first half has been notable for its poor clutch performances.
Runs Created (THT version)
- Jason Bay, 70
- Kevin Youkilis, 63
- Derek Jeter, 61
- Johnny Damon, 60
- Mark Teixeira, 58
- Dustin Pedroia, 58
- Jacoby Ellsbury, 45
- Alex Rodriguez, 45
- Nick Swisher, 43
- Hideki Matsui, 43
Bay, Pedroia and Ellsbury vault up the list (A-Rod does, too, but this is because he doesn't qualify for the batting title and is therefore excluded from most of the rate stats).
BA/RISP
- Dustin Pedroia, .386
- Kevin Youkilis, .368
- Jason Bay, .329
- Johnny Damon, .322
- Derek Jeter, .302
- Jacoby Ellsbury, .268
- Mike Lowell, .263
- Melky Cabrera, .250
- Mark Teixeira, .245
- Hideki Matsui, .238
Other than Damon and Jeter, no one on the Yankees is even hitting over .250 with runners in scoring position. Wow.
- Jason Bay, 11.0
- Dustin Pedroia, 6.3
- Kevin Youkilis, 6.0
- Johnny Damon, 3.0
- David Ortiz, 1.8
- Hideki Matsui, -1.3
- Mike Lowell, -1.5
- Derek Jeter, -1.9
- Melky Cabrera, -2.4
- Nick Swisher, -2.5
Damon is the only Yankee with a positive number here. "Clutch" is THT's adjustment to Runs Created to include batting with RISP and home runs with runners on base (which Bay seemed uncannily to hit all half long).
Before we get away from overall numbers, SecA attempts to derive value apart from batting average. The formula hurts singles hitters while rewarding walks, slugging and speed.
Secondary Average [(TB – H + BB + SB – CS) / AB]
- Jason Bay, .479
- Kevin Youkilis, .460
- Nick Swisher, .420
- J.D. Drew, .416
- Mark Teixeira, .411
- Hideki Matsui, .406
- Jason Varitek, .400
- Johnny Damon, .391
- David Ortiz, .324
- Derek Jeter, .297
Of course, as we well know, both these teams are patient to the extreme.
- Kevin Youkilis, 4.5
- Nick Swisher, 4.3
- Johnny Damon, 4.2
- J.D. Drew, 4.2
- David Ortiz, 4.1
- Melky Cabrera, 4.0
- Jason Bay, 4.0
- Hideki Matsui, 4.0
- Mark Teixeira, 3.9
- Jason Varitek/Dustin Pedroia, 3.9
No wonder the games always go four hours.
Home OPS (min. 125 PA)
- Mark Teixeira, 1.004
- Johnny Damon, .985
- Kevin Youkilis, .979
- Derek Jeter, .910
- Jason Varitek, .898
- Jason Bay, .892
- Mike Lowell, .883
- Robinson Cano, .858
- Hideki Matsui, .857
- Dustin Pedroia, .852
- Kevin Youkilis, 1.000
- Alex Rodriguez, .989
- Nick Swisher, .936
- Jason Bay, .906
- J.D. Drew, .869
- Mark Teixeira, .840
- Robinson Cano, .814
- Derek Jeter, .811
- Jacoby Ellsbury, .779
- Jason Varitek, .767
- David Ortiz, -.232
- Johnny Damon, -.222
- Jorge Posada, -.201
- Nick Green, -.188
- Mike Lowell, -.172
- Mark Teixeira, -.164
- Jason Varitek, -.131
- Dustin Pedroia, -.115
- Derek Jeter, -.099
- Melky Cabrera, -.053
Youkilis, Bay, Drew, Ellsbury, Matsui and Swisher break the mold by hitting better on the road.
Next up (hopefully), we'll tackle the pitchers.
5 replies on “Breaking Numbers, Pt. 1”
Thank you, Paul, you (again) amaze me.
And that’s with Youkilis and Bay slumping badly the last 2 weeks.
Not bad. Makes me feel good about the second half.
Just wait ’til the Sox deal Lugo to Toronto for Doc.
Great stuff Paul! Posts like these are what get me through the 4-day break.
Lugo for Doc, IBM? You’re dreaming! It’s gunna have to be Lugo and Penny for Halladay.
Great work, Paul. The Yankees have been amazingly un-clutch in the first half. What I want to know is whether this is due for regression to the mean, or the Yankees are just an unclutchy team and don’t have the ‘clutch’ skill.
pitchers per plate appearance? jesus, no wonder the games take forever! Who even carries that many pitchers these days??
j/k paul, awesome post. Dropped down for a look after scoping the pitchers post above… need more baseball!