ESPN’s Keith Law is keeping track of HOF ballots on his personal blog, and has either found from public columns or received via e-mail 63 of them (or roughly 10 percent). He’s calling it for Goose Gossage. Bert Blyleven, Andre Dawson and Jim Rice are all too close to call. Jack Morris and Tim Raines likely must wait another year:
If this proves accurate, what would be especially surprising is the big jump for Blyleven — the most deserving of the candidates on the ballot this year — after falling back last year to fewer than half the ballots.
One also wonders, as a comment on Law’s blog notes, whether those voters without email or newspaper columns might trend away from statistical analysis, potentially favoring borderline guys with great reputations (Rice, Dawson, Morris) while hurting statistical shoo-ins who played for terrible teams (Blyleven, Raines).